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Saturday, May 15, 2010

Lies, Damn Lies And Statistics

We have some breaking news coming into the political desk.

There's a prospect of an improved outcome for Republicans in November.
There's a prospect of an improved outcome for Democrats in November.
It appears voters hate everybody in Congress.
The voters mildly approve of Barack Obama.
The voters hate Barack Obama.

I do not envy Nate Silver right now. If he can run the table in Senate predictions like he did in 2008, using nothing but his model that is heavily dependent on polling data, you can go ahead and start searching his house for the political equivalent of Gray's Sports Almanac.

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